2015 Oscar Predictions

Who will win Oscars at the 2015 Academy Awards? Who should win? Here are my unscientific picks (“will win”) and preferences (“should win”).

Of course, if the world were perfect, the Oscars would go the people who truly delivered the best performances of 2014, and the best movies of 2014.

Best Short Film Picks

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Will win: Ida
  • Could win: Wild Tales
  • Should win: Anything but Ida

I’ve only seen Ida, and was not impressed, but it seems to be the consensus frontrunner. But this category can be wildly unpredictable, so who knows.

Best Documentary Feature

  • Will win: CITIZENFOUR
  • Should win: I haven’t seen any of the five nominees, so I have no opinion here

Best Original Song

This category is sort of bullshit when you think about—often, the nominated songs don’t even play an integral role in the movie itself—and I’m terrible at predicting it. But I’ll go with a consolation prize for the snubbed The LEGO Movie, though the same could be said for Selma.

Best Original Score

Best Visual Effects

Best Sound Editing

Is there a single person watching on television who understands or cares about this category?

Best Sound Mixing

Is there a single person watching on television who understands or cares about this category?

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Best Film Editing

Best Costume

Best Cinematography

Best Production Design

Best Animated Feature

The LEGO Movie would have been the easy winner, had it been nominated. Instead, that leaves the box office hit Big Hero 6 and box office disappoint/critically praised sequel How to Train Your Dragon 2 to duke it out with three movies that many people haven’t heard of. This is a close one, but Big Hero 6 will come out on top. Maybe.

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Imitation Game was not that good, but I understand why people like it. The Theory of Everything was great, but I get why some people view it as pure Oscar bait. Whiplash is somewhere in between.

Best Original Screenplay

If Boyhood wins this one, you know it’s primed for a big night, but Birdman will nab this Oscar. As win for The Grand Budapest Hotel wouldn’t be surprising, however.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Will win: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
  • Should win: Emma Stone, Birdman

Patricia Arquette will win if only for the fact that this is such a weak category. Emma Stone is the only actress of the five that even deserves to have been nominated for this prestigious award, but it would be a stunner if Arquette doesn’t clean up.

Best Supporting Actor

J.K. Simmons has won this award throughout awards season, and while he’s great, Edward Norton is a thousand times better, delivering his best performance in over a decade.

Best Actress

Julianne Moore is pretty much a lock, and she delivers a great performance, but Pike’s is so much more memorable and sensational. Felicity Jones also deserves consideration as well.

Best Actor

I’m still confused why Steve Carell was nominated. Also, I originally had Eddie slated to win, but am waffling at the last minute.

Best Director

  • Will win: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
  • Should win: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman

This is one of those years where Best Picture and Best Director will likely be split among two movies. As much as I found Boyhood to be hype without substance, a gimmick more than anything else, I won’t feel too bad when Richard Linklater takes home gold for filming a movie over 12 years. Of course, Iñárritu’s direction is so much interesting and captivating, while the same could be said for Wes Anderson’s.

Best Picture

This one is too close to call. My gut says Boyhood will win, because it has had momentum for so long, but my Spidey Sense tells me that rational minds will prevail and select Birdman as the Best Picture of 2014, because, let’s face it, Boyhood just isn’t that good. Of course, had I had it my way, Nightcrawler would have been nominated and won.


By Erik Samdahl
Related categories: Awards & Oscars, Comedies, Drama Movies, Featured